Document Type : Original Article
Authors
1
Assistant Professor, Economics Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran. Email: reza_ash@eco.usb.ac.ir.
2
Associate Professor, Economics Department, Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran. Email: m.esfandiari@eco.usb.ac.ir.
3
Assistant Professor, Department of Islamic Teachings, Faculty of Theology, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran. Email: barani@theo.usb.ac.ir.
Abstract
In recent years, the Supreme Leader of the Revolution has presented a strategic economic foresight through the concept of resistance economy. He stated that weak economic performance challenges the country from both external and internal fronts. The external challenge is sanctions, which will diminish if internal issues are addressed. Considering this, this study examines the impact of these challenges on weakening or strengthening the economy using a fuzzy regression model. The statistical population of the research is based on the second step statement of the Revolution from 1979 to 2020. The results indicate that imports, unemployment, dependence on oil revenues, sanctions, income inequality, the expansion of government size in the economy, inflation, and reduced utilization of the active population are among the factors that significantly weaken the economy in that order. Furthermore, the mentioned challenges have had a considerable impact on economic growth since 2011. If appropriate policies are implemented correctly in line with the second step statement of the Islamic Revolution, as emphasized by Ayatollah Khamenei, the trajectory of economic growth will significantly improve compared to the current trend, leading to a stronger economy. The overall conclusion of this study is that internalizing the economy provides a strategic foresight that protects not only the current generation but also future generations from the harms of economic vulnerabilities.
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