1
PhD student in Systems Management, Imam Hussein University
2
Assistant Professor, Future Research Department, Imam Hussein University
Abstract
Security threats are a major issue at the moment of the Islamic Revolution. Threats, not in the war, but in other economic, cultural, social, environmental and technological areas. Predicting international threats and adapting them to the security of the Islamic Republic of Iran can be effective in countering security threats in the coming years. What are the policies and strategies for dealing with those threats in the future? "What is the Macro History of World Security Trends?" The present study, which consists of macro-long-term and long-term security trends, is from the perspective of applied and descriptive-analytical method and is based on trend analysis and comparative study. Finally, a panel of experts has been formulated to provide policies and operational strategies tailored to contain trends with a normative approach and a backward approach. By formulating macro trends in research literature and by looking back on the set of desirable prospects of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the field of world security trends in the horizon of 2025, it has been presented and presented. Then, according to the perspective statement, four major goals are formulated. These goals demonstrate the comprehensiveness of looking at security and its subdivisions or areas of expertise. After a thorough review of the global security threat trends and a comparative review of the Islamic Republic of Iran, finally 9 axes, 17 policies and 35 strategies to address future security threats were put forward.
ثقفی، ف. و دیگران (1393)، طراحی و پیادهسازی مدل مرجع پسنگری برای شناسایی عوامل کلیدی موفقیت خدمات دولت الکترونیکی در ایران، مطالعات راهبردی جهانیشدن، (14): 205 ـ 240.
حاجیانی، ابراهیم و قصاع، محمود (1392)، آینده و سناریونگاری؛ طبقهبندی روشها و دستهبندی سناریوها، فصلنامة راهبرد اجتماعی فرهنگی، 2(8).
عباسی، علیاصغر و بهرامی، محسن (1382)، پسنگری در آیندهپژوهی، دومین همایش ملی آیندهپژوهی، شرکت یادگار درخشان آریا.
مرادیپور، حجتالله و نوروزیان، مهدی (1384)، آیندهپژوهشی: مفاهیم و روشها، فصلنامة رهیافت، (36).
میرعرب، مهرداد (1379)، نیمنگاهی به مفهوم امنیت، فصلنامه علوم سیاسی، 3 (9): 142-133.
وحیدی مطلق، وحید (1385)، پسنگری از آینده به امروز، اندیشگاه آتینگار.
ostadi, R., & arab bafrani, M. (2020). The Future of Global Threats Affecting the Islamic Revolution. Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 1(1), 9-48.
MLA
rasoul ostadi; mohamadreza arab bafrani. "The Future of Global Threats Affecting the Islamic Revolution", Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 1, 1, 2020, 9-48.
HARVARD
ostadi, R., arab bafrani, M. (2020). 'The Future of Global Threats Affecting the Islamic Revolution', Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 1(1), pp. 9-48.
VANCOUVER
ostadi, R., arab bafrani, M. The Future of Global Threats Affecting the Islamic Revolution. Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 2020; 1(1): 9-48.