An Investigation of the Security Consequences of the Islamic Republic of Iran's Macro Policies in the Field of Energy for the Islamic Revolution in the Next 20 Years

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Master of the economy of Petroleum and Gas, The University of Petroleum Industry, Tehran, Iran

2 Assistant professor at the Faculty of Islamic Knowledge and thought, University of Tehran

Abstract

Due to the uncertainties of the futures study and scenario planning to achieve renewable sources such as wind energy and solar energy, this research is intended to design different scenarios using two indicators of technology and economics. A matrix was formed on the basis of these two indicators, and four scenarios of renewables industry in Iran were explained. In this framework, Iranian technology can vary in the spectrum between being pioneers to being followers. Economic foundations and economic policies can change from fossil fuels to green fuels (based on renewable technologies). These four scenarios are as follows: “Rotten fossil”, such as the situation of Iran's economy which is dependent on oil, and its macro policy in technology which is being followers. “Gold seekers”, which is the case when the economy is dependent on oil, but the country is in advanced case in terms of technology. “Clean money”, designating that Iran's economy is known as green economy, but in terms of technology, it follows others. “Green movement”, introducing a scenario in which the economy is flourishing and at the same time technology policy makes Iran an advanced country in this case.

Keywords

References

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Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution
Volume 1, Issue 2
December 2020
Pages 7-33

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History

  • Receive Date: 24 September 2020
  • Revise Date: 17 November 2020
  • Accept Date: 20 November 2020
  • Publish Date: 21 November 2020

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