Providing a monitoring framework for strategic transformations in the security environment of the Islamic Republic of Iran

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Imam khomeini International University

2 Department of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin

3 Head of Foresight Commission and Professor oat Shahed University

Abstract

The contemporary transformations in the West Asian region indicate the increasing potential of strategic transformations in the future of the region, which inevitably affect the actors and political units in this regional system. On this basis and with regard to the principle of preventing strategic surprises as well as early awareness of the opportunities and threats ahead in the security environment of the Islamic Republic of Iran, it is important to monitor these transformaations. In order to find a comprehensive framework for monitoring strategic transformations in this region, the present research expresses two basic question of how to view and analyze the dynamics of transformations; and also the important components and indicators for monitoring developments. In response to the first question, five security subsystems based on security interdependence derived from Bozan's security set theory were identified. In response to the second question, 51 components to monitor the security environment of the Islamic Republic in the West Asia region were obtained. This research, with a qualitative approach, has used documents and library studies to collect data and has used a descriptive analytical method to achieve the results of the research.

Keywords

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Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution
Volume 4, Issue 3
Autumn Quarterly
November 2023
Pages 11-33

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History

  • Receive Date: 26 July 2023
  • Revise Date: 11 October 2023
  • Accept Date: 21 October 2023
  • Publish Date: 21 November 2023

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