Prioritizing the incentives of the Family and Youth Protection Law for the 7th Development Plan in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach
Department of Future Studies, Hazrat Wali Asr College, Imam Hossein University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
Purpose: This research has been written with the aim of prioritizing the incentives proposed in the family and youth protection law in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach.
Method: This research has reached its conclusion in three steps. In the first step, the meta-analysis method was used to understand the current situation, in the second step, by document study, the existing documents regarding the subject were examined, and finally, in the third step, by using It has identified key and important incentives from the Delphi technique.
Findings: In this research, after reviewing the upstream documents and identifying their emphasis on the issue of population youth, the incentives proposed in the law were counted and using the opinions of experts, key incentives were selected through five Delphi steps. In the continuation of the work, after identifying the four crises, incentives were proposed to the policy maker apart from the incentives proposed in the law.
Conclusion: In this research, an attempt was made to institutionalize the proposition that the time has come to end the method of cross-sectional action and trial and error in this field, and considering the existing limitations, effective factors should be extracted in order to design a comprehensive framework for policy making. By means of it, you can survive this important crossing.
Ahmadi Fazlullah, Nasiriani Khadijah, Abazari Parvaneh, (2007), Delphi technique; A tool in research, Iranian Journal of Education in Medical Sciences, Spring and Summer, 8 (1), page175-185.(In persian)
Future Health Research Institute, (2013), analysis of general population policies announced by the Supreme Leader, Faculty of Medical Sciences and Health Care Services, Kerman, second edition. (In persian)
Gasper, t (2015), strategia sapiens-strategic foresight in a new perspective, foresight, glossary of futures studies terms,retrieved june 30, 2012, from http://www.audiencedialogue.net/gloss-fut.html
Hajiani Ebrahim, (2016), Basic principles and methods of future research, Imam Sadegh University Publications, 4th edition. (In persian)
Hosseinzadeh Javad, (2018), Demographic window, human capital management and sustainable economic growth in the second step of Iran's Islamic revolution, Journal of Official Statistics of Iran, Volume 30 (1), pp. 121-154. (In persian)
Islamic Council, (16/10/2021), Family and Youth Protection Law, B2n.ir/z30345
Keshavarz Turk Mohsen, (2017), the evolution of strategic foresight (routing public policy), Center for Scientific Policy Research of the country, first edition. (In persian)
Roustaei mehrangiz, Moghadisi Mohammad Baqer, (2021), evaluation of population policies in the measure of the principles of criminalization; With an emphasis on the family protection law and the youth of the population, scientific journal of criminal law and criminology research, volume 10, volume 20, pp. 117-150. (In persian)
Rahmani Abdullah, Vazirinejad Reza, Ahmadinia Hassan, Rezaian Mohsen, (2019), methodological basics and applications of the Delphi method, Journal of Rafsanjan University of Medical Sciences, volume 19, August 2019, pp. 515 to 538. (In persian)
Rahnavard Farajollah, (2022), general policies of development programs: a case study of Iran, Development Management Process Quarterly, Volume 35, Vol. 3, pp. 3-55. (In persian)
Sadeghi Rasool, Abbasi Shawazi Mohammad Jalal, Mahmoudiani Sirajuddin, (2014), Youth inflation of the population, research gaps and policy requirements, Journal of the Iranian Demographic Society, Volume 10, Vol. 19, pp. 9-43. (In persian)
Sadeghpour Mohammad Jaafar, (2023), a reflection on the legislator's new approach to abortion in the Family and Youth Protection Law, Journal of Women and Family Studies, Volume 11, No. 28, pp. 108-127. (In persian)
Seyyed Ali Khamenei, (30/02/2013), General Policy Document of the population, website of Ayatollah Khamenei Works Preservation and Publishing Office, B2n.ir/e46111. (In persian)
Seyyed Ali Khamenei, (2017), Statement of the Second Step of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Khamenei Works Preservation and Publishing Office website, B2n.ir/r31904. (In persian)
Seyyed Ali Khamenei, (12/09/2022), document of the general policies of the 7th development program, website of Ayatollah Khamenei's works preservation and publication office, B2n.ir/m97245. (In persian)
Seyyed Ali Khamenei, (22/07/2018), Document of the Islamic-Iranian model of progress, website of the Office of Ayatollah Khamenei, B2n.ir/f83492. (In persian)
Shamsaldini Mohammad, Soleimani Gholamreza, (2022), the future scenarios of the demographic and economic situation of Iran through the window of opportunity of the demography window, Islamic Revolution Quarterly, Volume 3, Vol. 4, pp. 99-116. (In persian)
Taghavi Nematullah, (1378), Basics of Demography, Tehran, Sociologist and Daniyal Society, 4th edition. (In persian)
Thirteenth government, (20/06/2023), proposed bill of the thirteenth government for the seventh development plan, B2n.ir/g32721(In persian)
KARAMI, A., & Aberoumand, J. (2023). Prioritizing the incentives of the Family and Youth Protection Law for the 7th Development Plan in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach. Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 4(4), 141-168.
MLA
ALI KARAMI; Jamal Aberoumand. "Prioritizing the incentives of the Family and Youth Protection Law for the 7th Development Plan in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach". Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 4, 4, 2023, 141-168.
HARVARD
KARAMI, A., Aberoumand, J. (2023). 'Prioritizing the incentives of the Family and Youth Protection Law for the 7th Development Plan in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach', Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 4(4), pp. 141-168.
VANCOUVER
KARAMI, A., Aberoumand, J. Prioritizing the incentives of the Family and Youth Protection Law for the 7th Development Plan in the form of upstream documents with a strategic foresight approach. Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution, 2023; 4(4): 141-168.
)