Investigating the impact of strategic foresight on supply chain performance with an emphasis on the mediating role of strategic flexibility (Case study: supply chain of the Iranian automotive industry)

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Doctoral student of Future Studies, Imam Khomeini International University (RA), Qazvin, Iran

2 Professor, Futures studies group, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University, Qazvin, Iran

3 Associate Professor, Department of Future Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University (RA)

4 Assistant Professor, Department of Future Studies, Faculty of Social Sciences, Imam Khomeini International University (RA)

Abstract

 Todays, strategic foresight is known as an important and vital tool in organizations to deal with uncertainty in the future and stability in complex environments. The purpose of this research is to investigate the role of strategic foresight in supply chain performance. For this purpose, the moderating role of strategic flexibility has been used as a moderating factor. The statistical population of this research is all the members of the supply chain of the Iranian automobile industry, and two stages of simple random sampling and stratified sampling proportional to the volume have been used. 136 questionnaires were distributed and finally 125 questionnaires were analyzed. To test the 5 main hypotheses, structural equation modeling method based on variance (partial least square fan) and path analysis was used. The results and analysis of outputs showed that strategic flexibility and shared value creation have a positive and significant effect on supply chain performance. Among the indicators of strategic foresight, only formal organization has a negative effect on strategic flexibility, and the rest of the indicators have a positive effect. Strategic flexibility also has a positive and significant effect on the creation of shared value. The results of this research lead supply chain members to a correct understanding of the impact of strategic foresight on supply chain performance in order to improve future decisions.

Keywords

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References

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Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution
Volume 5, Issue 2 - Serial Number 17
Summer Quarterly
July 2024
Pages 161-131

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History

  • Receive Date: 30 January 2024
  • Revise Date: 02 March 2024
  • Accept Date: 02 June 2024
  • Publish Date: 21 June 2024

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