Scenarios of the geography of resistance against the geography of domination inspired by the guidelines of the Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Khamenei

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

1 Lecturer and researcher at Imam Hussein (AS) Guards Officer and Training University

2 Assistant Professor, Faculty and Research Institute of Prophet Muhammad (PBUH), Imam Hussein Comprehensive University

Abstract

The geopolitical shifts in West Asia indicate the emergence of two opposing power structures: the geography of resistance and the geography of domination, which significantly influence the region’s political, security, and civilizational future. Objective: This study aims to analyze the future of the geography of resistance against the geography of domination using Islamic futures studies and scenario planning techniques to examine key trends, effective drivers, and probable outlooks in the geopolitical transformations of the region. Research Question: The central question of this research is: Based on Imam Khamenei’s strategic guidelines, what scenarios can be outlined for the future of resistance versus domination in West Asia, and what implications would each have for the region’s political, security, and civilizational order? Methodology: This study employs an analytical-descriptive approach to future studies, utilizing scenario planning techniques to extract key trends and influential drivers from Imam Khamenei’s statements. Additionally, a matrix of drivers and uncertainties is developed to analyze different future trajectories.The results indicate that the geography of resistance is on a path of consolidation and expansion, whereas the geography of domination is actively working to counter this emerging order. Scenario analysis suggests four possible future paths:Optimistic Scenario: Resistance prevails and expands, Probable Scenario: Resistance remains strong but faces severe pressure, Pessimistic Scenario: Resistance weakens due to internal fragmentation, Critical Scenario: Resistance collapses under extreme external pressures. These findings underscore the importance of strengthening advanced technologies, expanding economic resilience, managing soft warfare, and fostering Islamic unity as essential strategic pathways for achieving a desirable future for the geography of resistance.

Keywords

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Futures Studies Of The Islamic Revolution
Volume 6, Issue 4
January 2026
Pages 11-36

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History

  • Receive Date: 10 June 2025
  • Revise Date: 30 August 2025
  • Accept Date: 27 October 2025
  • Publish Date: 22 December 2025

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