تبیین جامعه شناختی عوامل موثر بر امید به آینده در جوانان شهر زاهدان

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسنده

استادیار گروه اجتماعی ، دانشکده ادبیات و علوم انسانی، دانشگاه سیستان و بلوچستان،زاهدان،ایران.

چکیده

امید به آینده یک مفهوم چند وجهی است که نقش مهمی در جنبه های مختلف زندگی انسان ایفا می کند. پرورش امید و تصاویر مثبت از آینده برای ارتقای رفاه، پیشرفت و بهزیستی افراد و جامعه در مواجهه با چالش‌ها ضروری است. این پژوهش به بررسی عوامل موثر در امید به آینده جوانان شهر زاهدان با استفاده از روش پیمایشی و ابزار پرسشنامه می‌پردازد. بر این اساس 405 نفر از جوانان شهر زاهدان با روش نمونه‌گیری طبقه‌ای مورد مطالعه قرار گرفتند. نتایج این پژوهش نشان داد بین سرمایه اجتماعی، سرمایه اقتصادی، ارزش‌های فرهنگی، سواد مالی، اعتماد به نفس و انگیزه پیشرفت با امید به آینده در جوانان رابطه معنی‌داری وجود دارد. نتایج تحلیل رگرسیون نشان داد متغیرهای مستقل تحقیق 56 درصد از تغییرات متغیر وابسته امید به آینده را تبیین می‌کند. نتایج تحلیل مسیر حاکی از آن است که به ترتیب سرمایه اجتماعی، سرمایه اقتصادی، انگیزه پیشرفت مهمترین عوامل تأثیرگذار در امید به آینده جوانان شهر زاهدان است. در این تحقیق، منابع خارجی امید(یعنی سرمایه اجتماعی، سرمایه اقتصادی و ارزش‌های فرهنگی) در تعامل با منابع درونی امید(یعنی سواد مالی، انگیزه پیشرفت و اعتماد به نفس) به عنوان پیش‌بینی‌کننده‌های امید به آینده جوانان شناخته شد. این یافته‌ها بر نقش مهم سرمایه-های اجتماعی، اقتصادی، روانی و فرهنگی در جلوگیری از ایجاد ناامیدی و تصویر منفی نسبت به آینده تأکید می‌کند. بنابراین، عوامل ساختاری بخصوص سرمایه اجتماعی در امید به آینده جوانان شهر زاهدان تأثیرگذار است.

کلیدواژه‌ها


عنوان مقاله [English]

Sociological Explanation of affecting factors on Hope for the future in the youth of Zahedan city

نویسنده [English]

  • Elham Shirdel
Assistant Professor, Department of Social Sciences, Faculty of Literature and Humanities, University of Sistan and Baluchestan, Zahedan, Iran
چکیده [English]

Hope for the future is a multifaceted concept that plays an important role in various aspects of human life. Cultivating hope and positive images of the future is necessary to promote the well-being, progress, and well-being of individuals and society in the face of challenges. This research examines the effective factors in the hope for the future of the youth of Zahedan city using survey method and questionnaire tool. Based on this, 405 youths of Zahedan city were studied by stratified sampling method. This research showed a significant relationship between social capital, economic capital, cultural values, financial literacy, self-confidence, and motivation to progress with hope for the future in young people. The regression analysis showed that the independent variables explain 56% of the changes in the dependent variable of hope for the future. The results of the path analysis indicate that, respectively, social capital, economic capital, and motivation for progress are the most important influencing factors in the hope for the future of the youth of Zahedan city. In this research, external sources of hope (social capital, economic capital, and cultural values) in interaction with internal sources of hope (financial literacy, motivation for progress, and self-confidence) were recognized as predictors of hope for the future of young people. These findings emphasize the important role of social, economic, psychological, and cultural capital in preventing disappointment and a negative image of the future. Therefore, structural factors, especially social capital, are influential in the hope for the future of the youth of Zahedan.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • hope
  • future studies
  • social resources
  • attitude to the future
  • youth

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