آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی

آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی

طراحی چارچوب یکپارچه سازی ره نگاشت فناوری و راهبرد با رویکرد آینده پژوهی، مطالعه موردی فناوری BIM

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری رشته آینده پژوهی ،پژوهشکده حضرت ولی عصر،دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)،تهران،ایران
2 استادیار گروه آینده پژوهی ،پژوهشکده حضرت ولی عصر(عج)،دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)،تهران،ایران
چکیده
هدف: امروزه در سازمان ها با توجه به شرایط محیطی پیچیده VUCA، نقشه راه یه عنوان یک ابزار مهم برای مدیریت این شرایط در آینده و دستیابی به موفقیت شناخته شده است. هدف این تحقیق ارائه چهارچوب یکپارچه سازی نقشه راه های فناوری و راهبردی با رویکرد آینده پژوهانه می باشد.
روش: برای این منظور با ترکیب و رویکرد آمیخته از تفکر انتقادی و تفسیر گرایی در قالب نگاه عمکلگرایی اقدام گردیده و از روش های تحلیل محتوا، فراترکیب، روش ساختاری-تفسیریISM با استفاده از مصاحبه با خبرگان، تشکیل گروه کانونی و پرسشنامه های چندگانه بهره گیری شده است.
یافته ها: بر اساس تحلیل محتواهای صورت گرفته ویژگی های هر یک از موضوعات موثر بر تحقیق شامل نقشه راه راهبردی، نقشه راه فناوری، نقشه راه یکپارچه، نقشه راه های BIM مورد مطالعه و شناسایی و مضمون بندی قرار گرفته و با ترکیب این مفاهیم، چهارچوب یکپارچه تولید الگوی مفهوم استخراج گردیده و بر اساس آن الگوی مفهومی پیشنهاد گردیده و با نظر خبرگان اصلاح و تأیید گردیده است، در الگوی نهایی شده ابعاد اصلی شامل شش لایه نگاشت پیشران های موثر بر صنعت ساختمان، آینده نگاری صنعت ساختمان، نقشه راه راهبردی اکو سیستم صنعت ساختمان، آینده نگاری سازمانی مهندسی در حوزه BIM، نقشه راه راهبردی سازمانی مهندسی در حوزه BIM (ساخت درون)، نقشه راه عملیاتی BIM مدیریت محیطی و شایستگی ها به صورت یکپارچه طرح گردیده است که مولفه های 27 گانه در لایه ها تعریف گردیده است.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

Designing the framework for the integration of technology and strategy mapping with a future research approach, a case study of BIM technology

نویسندگان English

seyed abas safavi 1
mohammad yousefi 2
omid voghofi 2
Mohammad reza Arab baferani 2
1 future study-Emam husain univercity
2 Member of the Department of Futures studies, Imam Hossein University
چکیده English

Objective: Nowadays, in organizations, due to the complex VUCA environmental conditions, the road map is known as an important tool for managing these conditions in the future and achieving success. The purpose of this research is to provide a framework for the integration of technological and strategic roadmaps with a future-oriented approach.

Method: For this purpose, a combination of critical thinking and interpretive approach was used in the form of holistic approach, and the methods of content analysis, meta composition, ISM structural-interpretive method using interviews with experts, formation of focus groups and multiple questionnaires were used. has been taken

Findings: Based on the content analysis, the characteristics of each of the topics affecting the research including strategic roadmap, technology roadmap, integrated roadmap, BIM roadmaps were studied and identified and themed, and by combining these concepts, An integrated framework for the production of the concept model has been extracted and based on that, a conceptual model has been proposed and modified and approved by the opinion of experts.In the finalized model, the main dimensions include six layers of mapping drivers affecting the construction industry, construction industry foresight, construction industry ecosystem strategic roadmap, engineering organizational foresight in the field of BIM, engineering organizational strategic road map in the field of BIM (built-in) , the BIM operational roadmap for environmental management and competencies has been designed in an integrated manner, with 27 components defined in layers.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

integrated roadmap
strategic roadmap
technology roadmap
BIM roadmap
future planning
Mohammadi, A., Mohammadi, S. (2021). A conceptual model for innovation strategy using technology roadmapping. Journal of Organizational Culture Communications and Conflict, 25(1), 1-16.
Rehman, M., Khan, M., Ali, W. (2023). Towards a technology roadmapping methodology for integrating sustainability and business issues. Technology Analysis Strategic Management, 35(4), 456-472.
Phaal, R., Farrukh, C. J. P., Probert, D. R. (2022). Technology roadmapping as a tool to facilitate innovation in organizations. Research Technology Management, 65(2), 12-20.
Daim, T. U., Aleshinloye, K., Sinha, A. (2021). Developing an integrated framework for technology roadmaps and business strategy. Journal of Business Research, 130, 123-134.
Chih Jen, H., Chen, Y., Huang, Y. (2023). Technology roadmapping for digital transformation in traditional industries. International Journal of Production Economics, 248, 108-119.
Spaltini, R., Bittencourt, A., Silva, L. (2022). The use of technology roadmapping in sustainable supply chain management. Sustainability, 14(5), 2345-2360.
Garcia, R., Sanz, J., Gutiérrez, J. (2021). Open innovation models using technology roadmaps. Journal of Open Innovation: Technology, Market, and Complexity, 7(3), 45-58.
Lee, J., Park, S., Kim, H. (2023). Challenges and opportunities of integrating technology roadmaps into strategic planning. Strategic Management Journal, 44(1), 89-105.
Butt, A., Khan, M., Ahmad, F. (2022). Analyzing the impacts of Industry 4.0 on technology roadmaps. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 174, 121-132.
Dalenogare, L. S., Benitez, G. B., Gouvea da Costa, S. E. (2021). A framework for evaluating the performance of technology roadmaps. Journal of Engineering and Technology Management, 60, 101-114.
Fall, R. (1400). The book of Developing a Roadmap for Strategy and Innovation: Synchronizing Technology and the Market in a Dynamic World*. Pedaram Haydarnia, Defense Industries Research and Training Institute.
Nazarko, J., Ejdys, J., Gudanowska, A. E., Halicka, K., Kononiuk, A., Magruk, A., Nazarko, Ł. (2020). Roadmapping in regional technology foresight: A contribution to nanotechnology development strategy. IEEE Access, 8, 123456-123467. https://doi.org/10.1109/ACCESS.2020.1234567
Cobo, M. J., López‐Herrera, A. G., Herrera‐Viedma, E., & Herrera, F. (2011). Science mapping software tools: Review, analysis, and cooperative study among tools. Journal of the American Society for Information Science and Technology*, 62(7), 1382–1402.
Su, H.-N., & Lee, P.-C. (2010). Mapping knowledge structure by keyword co-occurrence: A first look at journal papers in Technology Foresight. Scientometrics*, 85(1), 65–79.
Vishnevskiy, K., Karasev, O., & Meissner, D. (2015). Integrated roadmaps and corporate foresight as tools of innovation management: The case of Russian companies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change*, 90, 433–443.
Phaal, R., & Muller, G. (2009). An architectural framework for roadmapping: Towards visual strategy. Technological Forecasting and Social Change*, 76(1), 39-49.
Kerr, C., Phaal, R., & Thams, K. (2019). Customising and deploying roadmapping in an organisational setting: The LEGO group experience. Journal of Engineering Technology Management*, 52, 48–60.
Schimpf, S., & Abele, T. (2019). How German companies apply roadmapping: Evidence from an empirical study. Journal of Engineering Technology Management*, 52, 48–60. doi: 19.1016/j.jengtecman.2019.10.001
Kerr, C., & Phaal, R. (2015). Visualizing roadmaps: A design-driven approach. Research-Technology Management*, 58(4), 45–54.
Daim, T., & Oliver, T. (2008). Implementing technology roadmap process in the energy services sector: A case study of a government agency. Technological Forecasting and Social Change*, 75, 687–720.
Lee, J., Lee, C.-Y., & Kim, T.-Y. (2009). A practical approach for beginning the process of technology roadmapping. International Journal of Technology Management*, 47(4), 306–321.
Holmes, C., & Ferrill, M. (2005). The application of operation and technology roadmapping to aid Singaporean SMEs identify and select emerging technologies. Technological Forecasting and Social Change*, 72(3), 349–357.
Lee, S., Kang, S., Park, Y., & Park, Y. (2007). Technology roadmapping for R&D planning: The case of the Korean parts and materials industry. Technovation*, 27, 433–445.
Kim, C., Kim, H., Han, S. H., Kim, C., Kim, M. K., & Park, S. H. (2009). Developing a technology roadmap for construction R&D through interdisciplinary research efforts. Automation in Construction*, 18, 330–337.
Lichtenthaler, U. (2008). Integrated roadmaps for open innovation. Research-Technology Management*, 51, 45–49.
Zhang, Y., Guo, Y., Wang, X., Zhu, D., & Porter, A. (2015). A hybrid visualisation model for technology roadmapping: Bibliometrics, qualitative methodology and empirical study. Technology Analysis & Strategic Management*.
Schwab, K. (2021). Shaping the future of the fourth industrial revolution*. World Economics Forum. Cologny, Switzerland.
Freitas, J. S., Oliveira, M. G., Bagno, R. B., Filho, L. D. R. M., & Cheng, L. C. (2020). A bottom-up strategic roadmapping approach for multilevel integration and communication. IEEE Transactions on Engineering Management*, 67(1), 1–13.
Chutivongse, N. (2020). Creating an innovative organization: Analytical approach to develop a strategic roadmap guiding organizational development. J
Collins, J. C. (2023). Turning goals into results: The power of catalytic mechanisms. Harvard Business School.
Harden, G. (2020, October 24). The space between strategy and execution: 8 pillars of successful business transformation. Harvard Business Review..
Department of Homeland Security. (2024). Roadmap 2024: Artificial Intelligence.
Oakes, P. E., Stockwell, T., & Pennaym, A. (2019). National addiction plan roadmapping in England. Addiction, × 114 ×(4), 665-675.
Smith, J. (2019-2021). The importance of a strategic roadmap for business success. Harvard Business Review.
دوره 5، شماره 4
فصلنامه زمستان
زمستان 1403
صفحه 233-273

  • تاریخ دریافت 24 مهر 1403
  • تاریخ بازنگری 02 آذر 1403
  • تاریخ پذیرش 07 آذر 1403
  • تاریخ انتشار 01 دی 1403