آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی

آینده پژوهی انقلاب اسلامی

فرآیند واگرایی در هژمونی صهیونیستی: تحلیل آینده‌نگرانه افول انسجام اجتماعی-فرهنگی رژیم اسرائیل

نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی

نویسندگان
1 استادیار گروه معارف و الهیات دانشگاه افسری امام علی علیه السلام
2 فارغ التحصیل دکترای تخصصی علوم قرآن و حدیث دانشگاه تهران
چکیده
رژیم اسرائیل که در سال ۱۹۴۸ بر مبنای ایدئولوژی صهیونیسم و با تکیه بر اسطوره بازگشت و پروژه ملت‌سازی یهودی تأسیس گردید، امروزه با چالش‌هایی بنیادین در ساختار اجتماعی و فرهنگی خود مواجه است. این نظم که در ابتدا کوشید از طریق نهادهای مدنی، آموزشی و رسانه‌ای، نوعی انسجام هویتی و هژمونی فرهنگی پایدار را شکل دهد، اکنون در مسیر واگرایی درونی قرار گرفته است. پژوهش حاضر با اتخاذ رویکردی آینده‌پژوهانه و اتکا بر نظریه هژمونی فرهنگی آنتونیو گرامشی، به تحلیل روندهای زوال تدریجی در بنیان‌های نمادین، نهادی و فرهنگی رژیم صهیونیستی می‌پردازد. پرسش محوری این پژوهش آن است که کدام روندها موجب تضعیف پیوندهای اجتماعی-فرهنگی مؤثر در استمرار نظم صهیونیستی شده‌اند، و این فرسایش چه آینده‌ای را برای هژمونی صهیونیستی رقم خواهد زد؟ در این چارچوب، با استفاده از روش توصیفی-تحلیلی و تحلیل منابع کتابخانه‌ای، داده‌های آماری و اسناد رسمی، نشانه‌های افول مشروعیت گفتمان صهیونیسم مورد واکاوی قرار گرفته‌اند؛ از جمله: ناکارآمدی نهادهای فرهنگی و آموزشی، تعمیق قطب‌بندی اجتماعی، شکاف‌های قومی-مذهبی، گسترش مهاجرت معکوس و ظهور گفتمان‌های پسا‌صهیونیستی. یافته‌های این مطالعه نشان می‌دهند که رژیم اسرائیل در دهه‌های پیش‌رو با بحران مزمنی در سطح هژمونی و مشروعیت مواجه خواهد شد. در این راستا، پژوهش حاضر با ترسیم سناریوهایی بر مبنای تحلیل روند، افق‌هایی از آینده رژیم اسرائیل در بستر فروپاشی نرم، زوال انسجام اجتماعی و بحران بازنمایی فرهنگی ارائه می‌دهد.
کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله English

The Divergence Process in Zionist Hegemony: A Foresight-Oriented Analysis of the Socio-Cultural Disintegration of the Israeli Regime

نویسندگان English

Alinaghi Lezgi 1
Ali Saghafiyan 2
1 Assistant Professor, Department of Islamic Studies and Theology, Imam Ali (AS) Officers' Academy
2 PhD in Quran and Hadith studies, University of Tehran.
چکیده English

Established in 1948 on the basis of the myth of return and the ideology of Jewish nation-building, the Israeli regime today faces deepening ruptures within its socio-cultural structure. Adopting a foresight-oriented perspective and grounded in Antonio Gramsci’s theory of cultural hegemony, this study seeks to analyze the gradual erosion of this ideological and institutional order. The central question addressed is: what processes have undermined the social and cultural bonds sustaining the Zionist regime, and what prospects might lie ahead for its hegemonic continuity?

Employing a descriptive-analytical method and drawing on library sources, statistical data, and official documents, the study explores key indicators of the declining legitimacy of Zionist discourse—such as the dysfunction of cultural and regulatory institutions, intensifying social polarization, ethnic-religious divisions, reverse migration, and the emergence of post-Zionist narratives. The findings suggest that in the coming decades, the Zionist order is likely to confront a profound crisis of legitimacy and weakening hegemony, potentially leading to the gradual disintegration of its social cohesion and the soft collapse of its legitimizing institutions. This study not only diagnoses current trends of internal erosion but also presents potential scenarios for the future of the Israeli regime within the context of cultural divergence and the decline of ideological hegemony.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Israel
Futures Studies
Cultural Hegemony
Legitimacy Crisis
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دوره 7، شماره 2
تابستان 1405
تابستان 1405
صفحه 159-193

  • تاریخ دریافت 03 مرداد 1404
  • تاریخ بازنگری 27 مهر 1404
  • تاریخ پذیرش 23 خرداد 1405
  • تاریخ انتشار 01 تیر 1405