نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 نویسنده مسئول: کارشناسی ارشد تاریخ و فلسفه آموزش و پرورش، دانشکده علوم انسانی، دانشگاه تربیت مدرس، تهران، ایران
2 استادیار دانشکده مدیریت دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)، تهران، ایران
3 استادیار گروه آینده پژوهی دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)، تهران، ایران
4 پژوهشگر مرکز منابع انسانی، دانشکده مدیریت، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین(ع)، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
As the intellectual institutions of the societies, universities and higher education institutions of the world, especially of Iran, firstly need to identify trends in future changes, and secondly, direct plans toward a model of futurology and strategic foresight. The point arising here relates to the question of what the future scenarios of the universities of the Islamic Republic of Iran will be in the perspective of 1404 (2025). This is an applied research following futures study method that contains review of resources, scenario writing through critical uncertainty approach, and expert panel. Four scenarios were finally proposed as future scenarios of the university including exclusive competition market: universities as interactive creators institutions for training common people, and universities as interactive institutions for training elites; competition free market: universities as core institutions for training elites; uncompetitive market: the university as a nuclear and elite institution; exclusive demanded multilateral market: universities as the main institute and common people trainers.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
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