نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استادیار، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران
2 نویسنده مسئول: دکتری مدیریت سیستمها، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The main purpose is to examine the role of key factors and drivers of Bahrain's internal and external circumstance. This research is developing and designing scenarios for Bahrain. Bahrain's circumstance internal and external has been examined over the period 2011 to 2022. The study was conducted by studying relevant basics, existing documents, as well as interviews with Bahraini professionals includes 10 experts from different fields of Bahrain. Results showed that there are four major scenarios for the future of Bahrain. The first scenario is the victory of the Al-Khalifa regime and the defeat of the revolutionaries based on the support of the trans-regional countries, Saudi Arabia and Cooperation Council. The second scenario of vulture dancing is the continuation of the status quo, based on people's fatigue from continuing protests. Compromise and the formation of a national unity government is the third scenario. The scenario indexes conciliation between the parties involved, and gives the post to the liberal and pro-regime Shiites. The last scenario is the Phoenix flight scenario, namely the formation of a Shiite government and the defeat of the Al Khalifa regime on based of unified leadership, continued resistance front political support and Bahraini resistance occurs. One of the most important jobs is the formation of resistance cores, propaganda and the attraction of youth to these cores.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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