نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری آینده پژوهی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران
2 استادیار، گروه آینده پژوهی، مرکز رصد و آینده پژوهی، دانشگاه جامع امام حسین (ع)، تهران، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
Futurism can be considered the science of discovering futures and building a desirable future. One of these methods, especially in the field of issues that have multiple stakeholders with non-convergent tendencies and which is used to analyze the results of negotiations and disputes; It is the Game theory. For this reason, the investigation of new developments in game theory methodology in Iran was chosen as the main topic of the current research. Based on this, it can be pointed out that the main question of the current research is: "What are the new developments in the methodology of game theory in Iran and its developments in the field of futures research?". Game theory is a kind of rational choice theory and also the specialized and mathematical form of the wise actor model in decision theories. The method used in the present study was meta-analysis and library research. After reviewing the database of Magiran with the keyword "game", 1000 articles that used the game method in their research were reviewed in several rounds, and finally 43 articles in the field of futures studies that used the game method in their research were selected and 8 dimensions includes: Exploratory or normative, time horizon, subject, source, data type, combination of method with other methods, interaction-oriented or expert-centered and depth of method used in research were examined. Based on research Result; Game theory has been used mostly in a normative way, without a time horizon, in economic and political issues, using library resources, quantitative and qualitative combination, without combining with other methods, without referring to experts and with appropriate depth in researches. Finally, recommendations for the use of game theory method in futures research were presented.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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