نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دانشجوی دکتری آیندهپژوهی، دانشگاه بینالمللی امام خمینی (ره)، قزوین، ایران
2 استادیار، گروه آیندهپژوهی، دانشگاه بینالمللی امام خمینی (ره)، قزوین، ایران
چکیده
کلیدواژهها
عنوان مقاله [English]
نویسندگان [English]
The Imam Khomeini's Relief Foundation is a non-governmental organization, a quasi-governmental organization that was founded with the slogan of supporting the deprived and oppressed and empowering them. Considering the importance of solving the many economic, cultural and social problems of the deprived classes of the society and predicting the programs needed to empower and meet the needs of the deprived classes in the province, the mentioned organization is facing scenarios in the considered horizon that this research with a strategic foresight approach seeks to draw scenarios are highly believable. The type of research is applied which uses descriptive-analytical and case-contextual methods and with survey research methods, scientific documents and interviews and secondary data analysis method using various techniques such as "Delphi", "Expert Panel" and "Scenario". The statistical population of the research includes academic experts in the field of futures studies and foresight and experimental experts familiar with the studied organization. To select the statistical sample, the method of "criterion-based sampling" was used with the help of the Snowball sampling. By identifying the key factors and driving forces involved in the issue, the most key uncertainties were identified and four plausible scenarios were drawn, and at the end of the research, Proactive strategic options and hyper-active strategic options was presented.
کلیدواژهها [English]
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